Basketball data
Basketball score patterns
High scoring spreads final digits widely, but late fouls, threes, and free throws still leave a measurable pattern. This grid shows ten NBA regular seasons.
Pregame cell chances
Rows are the home team's final digit and columns are the away team's final digit. The distribution is flatter than football, so small differences need a large sample.
Most common cells
These are historical finish rates. Random claims do not favor a player, and a live game's score can quickly reorder the modeled cells.
From tipoff to final
The live estimate uses score, quarter, clock, and this historical baseline. A future play-by-play model will add observed pace and game-state calibration.
Model: . , generated . Completed regular-season games only, with light smoothing. Source: . Informational game context, not betting advice.
Make the fourth quarter matter.
Create a board from a real basketball matchup.